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Boy, did I call it or what? I predicted Russ finding the re-hidden HII and not going after last week's episode. I've been in Ft Worth all week but managed to see the show last night.

There are 2 scenarios for Russell and the Foa 4 to play out next week. 1) We see in the previews Laura is running Galu and has her minions tailing Russ all day to make sure he doesn't find the HII so I don't see him finding it and blindsiding the Galu-idiots again next week. Galu is not sure Shambo has switched to Foa, so if Shambo can be a spy and determine who Galu is targeting, and the HII is found by a Foa, they can do the HII blindside again and possibly get rid of Laura by giving the HII to the Galu target. 2) Assuming Russ and Laura do not have the IN and are the mortal enemies we saw in the previews, Shambo switches and the vote is 5-5 Russ and Laura. IIRC, we do a fire start challenge and I'll assume Russ wins and sends Laura to the jury so we have the Foa 4 plus Shambo with a 5-4 advantage over Galu.

The other possibility is that Shambo talks John the rocket guy into jumping to Foa for a 6-4 advantage.

Enough what-ifs for now. Some observations from last night's show. The Galu-idiots have done some damage to any possibility of getting Erik's vote at FTC. They were talking about Erik as if he was not there and the looks on his face was great. They should have given him tons of credit and said they turned on him because he was such a strong player and to get the HII out of the game instead of telling the truth.

The IC where Laura came from way behind to win looked rigged to me. Shambo had a big lead and the guy (was it Dave) had a bigger lead. How could Laura have won? It seemed too convenient to me to have her win, but I see production assistance behind every tree.

Basileos wrote:

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As for Russ, while I still do not like him (positive edit or not) I do have to say well played! Though I do find it a bit odd that somehow, despite not having ANY clues, he has managed to find the HII twice.

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Simple, just walk over to where the camera man is pointing his camera.

I don't know if Shambo's fake vote for Russ was enough to throw the rest of Galu off the track, but it will be interesting to see how Russ maneuvers out of the target next time.

Basileos wrote:

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But here is what I want to know. Where does Shambo fit in at Foa? Is she still the fifth wheel like she would be at Galu, or was she given something more tangible? I can bet Russ made a F2 deal with her that we haven't seen, but what other kind of assurances has she gotten from the rest of Foa? I hope they explore that in future episodes.

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I'm running out of space on my DVR so I erase the Surv epi after I watch it, but I thought Russ promised Sham a F2 deal if she would help him. It was the epi after the merge when they voted Erik off(I think) or it was this last week after he found the HII and said he was not going to tell anybody then he showed it to Sham and made the F2 promise then. In either case, he owes her for her help. Russ has a F2 deal with almost everybody. I know he and Jaison (not much face time lately) has a F2 deal. Russ and Natalie have had a F2 deal since epi 1. I'm not sure about Russ and Mick, but I seem to remember Russ offering a F2 to Laura when she was the spy at Foa.

Teviko wrote:

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So what if they follow Russ. If he finds it, it's his, even if someone is two steps behind him. But everyone will know he has it so they won't vote for him. Well, that's where the Russ Alliance needs to be of one mind on how they use the HII. If they can consider the HII a community idol, regardless of who finds it, then they may very well be able to eliminate another Former Galu (F.G.) member. The trick will be to get a good idea about who the F.G.'s are targeting and make sure they give that person the idol with revealing their hand.

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You are correct. It all hinges on who the FG's target if it is not Russ. Assuming they know Sham is with FF to make it 5 to 5, and Russ has the HII, the FG's could target one of the other FF+S's.

Here is how I would play it: Assuming Russ finds HII and Jaison wins IC, the FF+S's target Laura with 5 votes. Knowing Jaison is safe and Russ has the HII, the FG's should target Natalie with all 5 votes to force a fire making tie. Russ gives Nat the HII and Laura will be gone. If the FG's find out Nat has the HII they switch to Russ who will tie with Laura at 5-5 and he should be able to start fire before her. The weakest fire starter on FF+S is probably Natalie since Mick, Jaison, Sham, and Russ all probably work to start the fire. Over at FG, Laura and Monica let the guys do most of the work so I don't see them starting a fire.